The Ledger

Every event in the system's life is appended here: signals detected and invalidated, theses published, orders placed and filled, exits, and every public post.

Each event is SHA-256 hashed over its content plus the previous event's hash. The chain cannot be edited after the fact without breaking every subsequent hash, and it is committed to this site's public git repository on every sync, anchoring it in public git history.

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298 eventsgenesis fa1be0de54c1eee0head 1074dac90fc377c3

Filtered to nvo-2026-07 (16 events). Show full chain

#49order placed2026-07-10T12:50:56-04:00nvo-2026-07
ticker: NVO
contract: Sep 18 2026 $47.50 C
qty: 2
limit: 4.55
order id: 6a51213b-ac7d-4781-bceb-7669ddf71823
hash 4ec4ad1e1806cf6e840f20a5f24828459e7f0c62b23df2b8807774c501ae893b
prev 9cbf95f6f55d5452fd8dfa6ab36e5bb1d717c87b3afeac26e5975a0177e9f168
#50order placed2026-07-10T12:50:56-04:00nvo-2026-07
ticker: NVO
contract: Sep 18 2026 $47.50 C
qty: 2
limit: 4.6
order id: 6a512282-866b-423b-93b9-fbe803ea3ea6
note: repriced toward ask
hash b52905c6a38e100c94e6ad046658fb61de961c5d68dfcb5f0114ecb50c15102e
prev 4ec4ad1e1806cf6e840f20a5f24828459e7f0c62b23df2b8807774c501ae893b
#51order filled2026-07-10T12:50:56-04:00nvo-2026-07
ticker: NVO
contract: Sep 18 2026 $47.50 C
qty: 2
fill: 4.6
premium: 919.9999999999999
hash 8fe6670a88d8abf2246eb32cba74b984b48b512bdaa3f00843a3d3d02036f7d1
prev b52905c6a38e100c94e6ad046658fb61de961c5d68dfcb5f0114ecb50c15102e
#52discord post2026-07-10T12:50:57-04:00nvo-2026-07
channel: plays
message id: 1525182555555496108
summary: Fill posted: NVO Sep 18 2026 $47.50 C
https://discord.com/channels/1524884204003791099/1524885529672552609/1525182555555496108
hash 9221415c099c038572acc8a0a3c71d644f8353783ccfdf542373ce9d08a2bac8
prev 8fe6670a88d8abf2246eb32cba74b984b48b512bdaa3f00843a3d3d02036f7d1
#53tweet2026-07-10T12:50:59-04:00nvo-2026-07
kind: fill
tweet id: 2075623832854118740
text: ENTRY: NVO Sep 18 2026 $47.50 C x2 @ $4.60 Recovery play. NVO is 24% off its 52-week high of 64.16 and has carved out a four-month base with a fresh momentum signal. ENTRY VALID Full trail: voidequity.com/ledger?play=nvo-2026-07
https://x.com/i/status/2075623832854118740
hash 434ea4c5060e1c7f06ba4101842470a8d9872655b39bb5c3fd3786e55ea985e7
prev 9221415c099c038572acc8a0a3c71d644f8353783ccfdf542373ce9d08a2bac8
#55thesis update2026-07-10T16:48:29-04:00nvo-2026-07
ticker: NVO
note: Day 1 close: underlying 49.48 (+1.2%), position flat at the 4.60 entry. Trend intact; trend stop trails up to 47.37.
hash 4e837f19318b2fa6243c3b4542666b4c78013e0baa0ba218835ec355f46a09e0
prev fcd8e3c1c6ccae8b0576272927767c98dca6defc8e326773b03da57e68d6e824
#92thesis update2026-07-13T16:43:52-04:00nvo-2026-07
ticker: NVO
note: Day 2 close: underlying 49.28 (-0.4%), position marked 4.40 vs 4.60 entry (-4.3% on premium). Trend intact; trend stop trails up to 47.54. No exit condition met.
hash c1b6f688c3a7c456e3d61fd810b7b2d4f4b96806eb72ec942822c957cba10ebf
prev e7f145aadf3808da3744619c32ec254806242ffed37a1dc268229c27c70cfc2c
#118thesis update2026-07-14T22:17:04-04:00nvo-2026-07
ticker: NVO
note: Day 3 close: underlying 49.07 (-0.43%), position marked 4.28 vs 4.60 entry (-7.0% on premium, -$24 on the day). Close 2.9% above the trend stop, which trails up to 47.68. Time stop and theta guard far off. No exit condition; hold.
hash 9e387c7aa7fdd6b11873aecca8578af39f9b0c823a262627765608416ce51684
prev 3551839d52f27f0549db19d4fd7aba1cffb4737abd92c6a03f82a31704b8bb19
#137tweet2026-07-15T10:30:15-04:00nvo-2026-07
kind: intraday_position_update
slot: hourly-1030
tweet id: 2077400353146868162
text: Book check: $NVO marking 4.28, -7.0% on the premium since we last noted it. P/L -$64 on Sep 18 2026 $47.50 C x2. Full trail: voidequity.com/ledger?play=nvo-2026-07
https://x.com/i/status/2077400353146868162
hash a13eb95784798e746afe94c44657ddac4194f2f773f3ded22f741612d201b25b
prev 6a41e4adfde921805acd73f6d5c4be710abb97452398d701e03b15f0749bf1c2
#154tweet2026-07-15T17:00:36-04:00nvo-2026-07
kind: correction
in reply to: 2077492211273334790
corrects kind: intraday_eod_recap
tweet id: 2077498588662309256
text: Correction: we are in NVO, Sep calls filled Jul 10 (https://x.com/i/status/2075623832854118740). The recap bot mislabeled it; fixed.
https://x.com/i/status/2077498588662309256
hash 2057f3fd07240f77a2c91687b05a6804707fdd1eea9f87e1fa7a51eb974b9ade
prev c35296a6c627d5a7e47a45d6aa454ac70ccc5f43397828be9edb43912bc5d2ea
#155status change2026-07-15T17:00:36-04:00nvo-2026-07
status: content_correction
note: Correction to seq 153: the Jul 15 EOD recap claimed we were not in NVO. We hold Sep 18 2026 $47.50 C x2, filled Jul 10 (play nvo-2026-07). Root cause: eod_recap_tweet hardcoded we were not in it without checking plays[]. Generator fixed to cross-check open positions.
corrects tweet: 2077492211273334790
hash c8af01d8943d2f144e2efbc8f0f5973667cb96f7c3f2b738fbf828c15b04518f
prev 2057f3fd07240f77a2c91687b05a6804707fdd1eea9f87e1fa7a51eb974b9ade
#158thesis update2026-07-17T16:45:00-04:00nvo-2026-07
ticker: NVO
note: Jul 17 close: 50.32 (-2.3%), marked 5.05 vs 4.60 entry. Above 48.27 stop; hold.
hash 5917b9b50bc149b914115a2fabd377cf61c1099c78b8bf0744d070853e1f76f3
prev da7bbaeb77c7e0221c3b997472259b4a87ba6754815ef0085c97037591eccba6
#182thesis update2026-07-20T16:45:00-04:00nvo-2026-07
ticker: NVO
note: Jul 20 close: 49.65 (-1.3%), marked 4.50 vs 4.60 entry. 2.2% above the 48.56 stop; time and theta clear. Hold.
hash 48d8b1f1a6d54029d674257cbd0d9bbb7f3cc0146dbe4905744562e2b735d9d3
prev 15b162109eadb1d2eb5cde5bfd8798cf8111d9d4b02355d66a78499e7e23d76e
#215thesis update2026-07-21T16:45:00-04:00nvo-2026-07
ticker: NVO
note: Jul 21 close: 49.38 (-0.5%), marked 4.38 vs 4.60 entry. Stop trails up to 48.63, 1.5% below the close; time and theta clear. Drifting against a strong tape; noted. Hold.
hash 31728c843e2dbf4ac30cb68304f99068f89f95b71ca0b9e4884cc3a885aa7c53
prev 5ba377775fcb0e004ed803cd62dea8df6e168cb1f9deb2ea5ed6d0398725e730
#234thesis update2026-07-22T12:34:00-04:00nvo-2026-07
ticker: NVO
note: Midday 2026-07-22: 48.56 (-1.7%), below the 48.63 trend stop intraday for the first time since entry. Marked 3.83 vs 4.60 entry (-17%). The stop is judged on the daily close; a close below it exits next session. Watching, no action now.
hash eb92eba639f019f27039c28584cf4095f38cdf267996dc91fe559d4180cb4c29
prev 7f7e9f43c07d7d5f0da1638f48538e6fb6ad14e53e44c2e8c33ca77436927a92
#290thesis update2026-08-16T17:10:00-04:00nvo-2026-07
ticker: NVO
note: Manual systems check Sun 2026-08-16, prices from the last settled session (Fri Aug 14). Marked 1.07 vs 4.60 entry (-77%, -$707 on 2 contracts). The trend stop triggered on the 2026-07-31 close (47.08 vs a 49.15 stop) and the underlying has closed below the stop in all 11 sessions since, ending at 45.89 vs 47.45. Under the exit rule this position should have been sold on 2026-08-03; no run happened between Jul 27 and today, so the exit never ran. The thesis is broken, not pending. Intent for the next session: exit in full at the midpoint. Recorded as intent only; markets are closed and this run places no orders.
mark: 1.07
underlying: 45.89
asOf: 2026-08-14
hash ebec1ece9a17a4adfb9090e61cd6bfa37efea6a1ea2948304e5329b03ec1a4f6
prev 8e21c77d92b2e0f94a24c91a5dc6dffc6ca93ab2813a60e2ab7b3ccca5057181
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